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The Publication
This publication presents monthly information on sales of new motor vehicles in each state/territory in original, seasonally adjusted and trend estimated terms. The original data are sourced from the Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries. Sales data are available for passenger vehicles, sports utility vehicles (SUVs), other vehicles and total vehicles at the state/territory and national levels.
AUGUST 2006 KEY POINTS
Trend
The August 2006 trend estimate for total sales of new motor vehicles (79,449) increased 0.1% compared with the July estimate. The slight increase in the August 2006 trend estimate follows sixteen consecutive months of decline.
Passenger vehicles recorded an increase (0.5%) from July 2006 to August 2006. Over the same period, both sports utility vehicles and other vehicles trend decreased, 0.7% and 0.4% respectively.
The recent upward trend of passenger vehicles continues, with the last three months recording increases. For sports utility vehicles, the trend estimate has been declining since October 2005, while trend estimate for other vehicles has been declining since September 2005.
Western Australia (1.4%) and Northern Territory (0.8%), recorded the largest increases in their trend estimate from July 2006 to Aug 2006, while Tasmania (1.4%) and South Australia (0.6) recorded the largest decreases.
Seasonally adjusted
The August 2006 seasonally adjusted estimate for total sales of new motor vehicles (78,974) decreased 2.3% compared to the July 2006 estimate.
From July 2006 to Aug 2006, all vehicle types decreased, sports utility vehicles 7.2%, other vehicles 1.8% and passenger vehicles 1.1%.
All states and territories excluding Northern Territory recorded decreases during this period. Queensland (5.8%), South Australia (4.4%) and Tasmania (4.3%) recorded the largest seasonally adjusted decreases, while the Northern Territory increased 7.6%.
New motor vehicles sales, August 2006
| NSW | Vic. | Qld | SA | WA | Tas.(a) | NT(a) | ACT(a) | Aust. |
Vehicle sales
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Seasonally adjusted | 23,736 | 20,196 | 17,295 | 4,923 | 9,432 | 1,437 | 796 | 1,159 | 78,974 |
Trend | 23,692 | 20,016 | 17,784 | 5,052 | 9,458 | 1,516 | 764 | 1,167 | 79,449 |
Percentage change from previous month
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Seasonally adjusted | -1.3 | -0.7 | -5.8 | -4.4 | -0.8 | -4.3 | 7.6 | -0.9 | -2.3 |
Trend | -0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | -0.6 | 1.4 | -1.4 | 0.8 | -0.3 | 0.1 |
Percentage change from previous year
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Seasonally adjusted | -7.9 | -7.7 | -5.6 | -6.6 | 9.0 | -13.5 | -0.5 | -11.0 | -5.6 |
Trend | -6.1 | -7.0 | -2.1 | -3.8 | 10.1 | -10.1 | -5.3 | -7.2 | -3.7 |
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(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes.
NOTES
FORTHCOMING ISSUES
ISSUE | RELEASE DATE | |
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September 2006 | 20 October 2006 | |
October 2006 | 21 November 2006 | |
November 2006 | 21 December 2006 | |
December 2006
January 2007
February 2007 | 22 January 2007
21 February 2007
21 March 2007 | |
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TREND REVISIONS
Trend estimates are likely to be revised when new seasonally adjusted estimates become available. For further information, see Explanatory Notes, paragraphs 11 and 12.
The graph below presents the effect of two possible scenarios on the previous trend estimates.
1 | The September 2006 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is higher than the August 2006 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.6%. |
2 | The September 2006 seasonally adjusted estimate of total vehicle sales is lower than the August 2006 seasonally adjusted estimate by 3.6%. |
The percentage change of 3.6% was chosen because the average absolute percentage change over the last 10 years has been 3.6%.
SUMMARY - TREND AND SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ESTIMATES
Table 1: New motor vehicle sales by type of vehicle
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| | Passenger vehicles (No.) | Sports utility vehicles (No.) | Other vehicles (No.) | Total vehicles (No.) | Change passenger vehicles (%) | Change sports utility vehicles (%) | Change other vehicles (%) | Change total vehicles (%) | |
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Original | |
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2005 | June | 60,781 | 18,317 | 23,047 | 102,145 | 20.4 | 18.7 | 27.6 | 21.7 | |
| July | 49,016 | 13,822 | 15,803 | 78,641 | -19.4 | -24.5 | -31.4 | -23.0 | |
| August | 53,648 | 15,173 | 17,356 | 86,177 | 9.4 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.6 | |
| September | 52,118 | 15,080 | 17,242 | 84,440 | -2.9 | -0.6 | -0.7 | -2.0 | |
| October | 48,434 | 12,503 | 15,181 | 76,118 | -7.1 | -17.1 | -12.0 | -9.9 | |
| November | 52,751 | 14,252 | 16,535 | 83,538 | 8.9 | 14.0 | 8.9 | 9.7 | |
| December | 47,945 | 15,046 | 16,286 | 79,277 | -9.1 | 5.6 | -1.5 | -5.1 | |
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2006 | January | 43,761 | 13,251 | 12,991 | 70,003 | -8.7 | -11.9 | -20.2 | -11.7 | |
| February | 48,483 | 13,506 | 15,457 | 77,446 | 10.8 | 1.9 | 19.0 | 10.6 | |
| March | 53,188 | 15,896 | 18,072 | 87,156 | 9.7 | 17.7 | 16.9 | 12.5 | |
| April | 42,307 | 11,901 | 14,442 | 68,650 | -20.5 | -25.1 | -20.1 | -21.2 | |
| May | 50,683 | 14,816 | 17,958 | 83,457 | 19.8 | 24.5 | 24.3 | 21.6 | |
| June | 57,026 | 18,079 | 21,343 | 96,448 | 12.5 | 22.0 | 18.8 | 15.6 | |
| July | 48,798 | 13,279 | 15,485 | 77,562 | -14.4 | -26.6 | -27.4 | -19.6 | |
| August | 52,030 | 13,539 | 16,092 | 81,661 | 6.6 | 2.0 | 3.9 | 5.3 | |
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Seasonally adjusted | |
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2005 | June | 51,396 | 14,337 | 16,931 | 82,664 | 0.8 | -2.7 | 1.5 | 0.3 | |
| July | 50,903 | 14,700 | 16,567 | 82,170 | -1.0 | 2.5 | -2.1 | -0.6 | |
| August | 51,291 | 15,086 | 17,287 | 83,664 | 0.8 | 2.6 | 4.3 | 1.8 | |
| September | 51,720 | 15,855 | 17,192 | 84,767 | 0.8 | 5.1 | -0.5 | 1.3 | |
| October | 48,676 | 14,004 | 16,270 | 78,950 | -5.9 | -11.7 | -5.4 | -6.9 | |
| November | 50,041 | 14,078 | 16,502 | 80,621 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 2.1 | |
| December | 49,605 | 14,927 | 16,737 | 81,269 | -0.9 | 6.0 | 1.4 | 0.8 | |
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2006 | January | 51,352 | 14,709 | 16,943 | 83,004 | 3.5 | -1.5 | 1.2 | 2.1 | |
| February | 50,083 | 14,170 | 16,635 | 80,888 | -2.5 | -3.7 | -1.8 | -2.5 | |
| March | 48,656 | 13,984 | 16,589 | 79,229 | -2.8 | -1.3 | -0.3 | -2.1 | |
| April | 49,219 | 13,875 | 16,304 | 79,398 | 1.2 | -0.8 | -1.7 | 0.2 | |
| May | 49,558 | 13,892 | 16,359 | 79,809 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | |
| June | 48,790 | 14,230 | 15,593 | 78,613 | -1.5 | 2.4 | -4.7 | -1.5 | |
| July | 50,540 | 14,052 | 16,218 | 80,810 | 3.6 | -1.3 | 4.0 | 2.8 | |
| August | 50,004 | 13,040 | 15,930 | 78,974 | -1.1 | -7.2 | -1.8 | -2.3 | |
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Trend | |
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2005 | June | 51,222 | 14,872 | 16,801 | 82,895 | -0.1 | -1.3 | 0.9 | -0.1 | |
| July | 51,066 | 14,764 | 16,902 | 82,732 | -0.3 | -0.7 | 0.6 | -0.2 | |
| August | 50,857 | 14,754 | 16,911 | 82,522 | -0.4 | -0.1 | 0.1 | -0.3 | |
| September | 50,595 | 14,762 | 16,842 | 82,199 | -0.5 | 0.1 | -0.4 | -0.4 | |
| October | 50,339 | 14,727 | 16,767 | 81,833 | -0.5 | -0.2 | -0.4 | -0.4 | |
| November | 50,155 | 14,636 | 16,722 | 81,513 | -0.4 | -0.6 | -0.3 | -0.4 | |
| December | 50,029 | 14,499 | 16,702 | 81,230 | -0.3 | -0.9 | -0.1 | -0.3 | |
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2006 | January | 49,898 | 14,356 | 16,680 | 80,934 | -0.3 | -1.0 | -0.1 | -0.4 | |
| February | 49,735 | 14,254 | 16,629 | 80,618 | -0.3 | -0.7 | -0.3 | -0.4 | |
| March | 49,570 | 14,175 | 16,530 | 80,275 | -0.3 | -0.6 | -0.6 | -0.4 | |
| April | 49,422 | 14,067 | 16,370 | 79,859 | -0.3 | -0.8 | -1.0 | -0.5 | |
| May | 49,388 | 13,951 | 16,200 | 79,539 | -0.1 | -0.8 | -1.0 | -0.4 | |
| June | 49,494 | 13,850 | 16,068 | 79,412 | 0.2 | -0.7 | -0.8 | -0.2 | |
| July | 49,648 | 13,739 | 15,964 | 79,351 | 0.3 | -0.8 | -0.6 | -0.1 | |
| August | 49,906 | 13,640 | 15,903 | 79,449 | 0.5 | -0.7 | -0.4 | 0.1 | |
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Table 2: New motor vehicle sales by state/territory of registration
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| | NSW | Vic. | Qld | SA | WA | Tas.(a) | NT(a) | ACT(a) | Aust. | |
| | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | (No.) | |
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Original | |
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2005 | June | 30,745 | 25,493 | 24,656 | 6,586 | 10,013 | 2,052 | 1,185 | 1,415 | 102,145 | |
| July | 24,998 | 20,025 | 17,631 | 4,813 | 7,727 | 1,438 | 767 | 1,242 | 78,641 | |
| August | 26,292 | 22,550 | 19,330 | 5,458 | 8,714 | 1,689 | 751 | 1,393 | 86,177 | |
| September | 25,457 | 22,044 | 18,344 | 5,243 | 9,125 | 2,151 | 793 | 1,283 | 84,440 | |
| October | 22,949 | 20,289 | 16,026 | 5,030 | 8,349 | 1,655 | 659 | 1,161 | 76,118 | |
| November | 25,716 | 22,428 | 17,181 | 5,500 | 9,107 | 1,667 | 690 | 1,249 | 83,538 | |
| December | 23,054 | 22,110 | 16,208 | 5,335 | 8,664 | 2,080 | 690 | 1,136 | 79,277 | |
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2006 | January | 21,995 | 17,876 | 15,107 | 4,380 | 7,604 | 1,295 | 616 | 1,130 | 70,003 | |
| February | 24,495 | 19,979 | 16,452 | 5,085 | 8,165 | 1,373 | 731 | 1,166 | 77,446 | |
| March | 27,165 | 21,461 | 19,833 | 5,195 | 9,750 | 1,540 | 913 | 1,299 | 87,156 | |
| April | 21,171 | 17,636 | 14,820 | 4,619 | 7,507 | 1,129 | 764 | 1,004 | 68,650 | |
| May | 25,124 | 20,776 | 18,774 | 5,601 | 9,472 | 1,623 | 863 | 1,224 | 83,457 | |
| June | 28,560 | 23,015 | 23,091 | 6,164 | 11,170 | 1,936 | 1,058 | 1,454 | 96,448 | |
| July | 23,688 | 19,322 | 17,910 | 4,794 | 8,720 | 1,334 | 679 | 1,115 | 77,562 | |
| August | 24,223 | 21,043 | 18,124 | 5,107 | 9,736 | 1,436 | 768 | 1,224 | 81,661 | |
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Seasonally adjusted | |
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2005 | June | 25,069 | 21,592 | 18,754 | 5,323 | 8,082 | 1,783 | 854 | 1,207 | 82,664 | |
| July | 25,421 | 21,356 | 18,103 | 5,163 | 8,386 | 1,628 | 826 | 1,287 | 82,170 | |
| August | 25,775 | 21,879 | 18,318 | 5,273 | 8,655 | 1,662 | 800 | 1,302 | 83,664 | |
| September | 26,117 | 21,760 | 18,320 | 5,320 | 9,102 | 2,001 | 842 | 1,305 | 84,767 | |
| October | 23,636 | 20,630 | 17,429 | 5,201 | 8,524 | 1,605 | 738 | 1,187 | 78,950 | |
| November | 24,539 | 21,304 | 17,267 | 5,291 | 8,822 | 1,475 | 715 | 1,208 | 80,621 | |
| December | 24,682 | 21,640 | 17,453 | 5,245 | 8,709 | 1,578 | 768 | 1,194 | 81,269 | |
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2006 | January | 25,884 | 21,215 | 18,109 | 5,309 | 8,821 | 1,600 | 817 | 1,249 | 83,004 | |
| February | 25,318 | 20,934 | 17,238 | 5,258 | 8,501 | 1,628 | 793 | 1,218 | 80,888 | |
| March | 24,605 | 19,955 | 17,587 | 4,835 | 8,671 | 1,597 | 769 | 1,210 | 79,229 | |
| April | 24,045 | 20,372 | 17,400 | 5,317 | 8,845 | 1,486 | 746 | 1,187 | 79,398 | |
| May | 23,886 | 20,158 | 17,798 | 5,275 | 9,213 | 1,581 | 740 | 1,158 | 79,809 | |
| June | 23,837 | 19,471 | 17,550 | 5,040 | 9,031 | 1,706 | 767 | 1,211 | 78,613 | |
| July | 24,037 | 20,344 | 18,361 | 5,147 | 9,510 | 1,501 | 740 | 1,170 | 80,810 | |
| August | 23,736 | 20,196 | 17,295 | 4,923 | 9,432 | 1,437 | 796 | 1,159 | 78,974 | |
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Trend | |
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2005 | June | 25,616 | 21,521 | 18,396 | 5,310 | 8,285 | 1,695 | 822 | 1,250 | 82,895 | |
| July | 25,416 | 21,535 | 18,313 | 5,266 | 8,433 | 1,696 | 818 | 1,255 | 82,732 | |
| August | 25,234 | 21,526 | 18,165 | 5,253 | 8,593 | 1,686 | 807 | 1,258 | 82,522 | |
| September | 25,067 | 21,482 | 17,966 | 5,261 | 8,715 | 1,662 | 790 | 1,256 | 82,199 | |
| October | 24,958 | 21,419 | 17,763 | 5,266 | 8,775 | 1,633 | 776 | 1,243 | 81,833 | |
| November | 24,931 | 21,333 | 17,616 | 5,262 | 8,770 | 1,604 | 768 | 1,229 | 81,513 | |
| December | 24,949 | 21,213 | 17,530 | 5,246 | 8,724 | 1,582 | 769 | 1,217 | 81,230 | |
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2006 | January | 24,956 | 21,024 | 17,495 | 5,220 | 8,682 | 1,573 | 773 | 1,211 | 80,934 | |
| February | 24,897 | 20,769 | 17,510 | 5,196 | 8,689 | 1,574 | 774 | 1,209 | 80,618 | |
| March | 24,715 | 20,492 | 17,566 | 5,177 | 8,762 | 1,586 | 771 | 1,206 | 80,275 | |
| April | 24,409 | 20,238 | 17,618 | 5,159 | 8,885 | 1,588 | 765 | 1,197 | 79,859 | |
| May | 24,106 | 20,077 | 17,661 | 5,140 | 9,035 | 1,576 | 757 | 1,187 | 79,539 | |
| June | 23,898 | 20,008 | 17,708 | 5,115 | 9,189 | 1,559 | 756 | 1,179 | 79,412 | |
| July | 23,749 | 19,989 | 17,736 | 5,082 | 9,328 | 1,538 | 758 | 1,171 | 79,351 | |
| August | 23,692 | 20,016 | 17,784 | 5,052 | 9,458 | 1,516 | 764 | 1,167 | 79,449 | |
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(a) Seasonally adjusted numbers of new motor vehicle sales in Tasmania, Northern Territory and Australian Capital Territory should be used with caution. For further information, see paragraph 7 of the Explanatory Notes. | |
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